Al Nasr v Bahla: the model read
Al Nasr meet Bahla in the FA Cup group stage - 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Al Nasr, 68% against 55%. Attacking output favors Bahla on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Al Nasr arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Fanja, D 2-2 v Bahla, W 2-0 v Al Musannah, W 2-1 @ Dhofar.
Bahla are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Al Nasr, W 3-1 @ Sur, L 0-1 @ Saham, L 1-3 v Al Seeb.
Al Nasr hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al Nasr 2-2 Bahla.
The market prices AL at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output