Where the market is wrong on Al-Nahda v Saham
Al-Nahda meet Saham in the FA Cup group stage - 3.
Al-Nahda rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1400. Recent form leans Al-Nahda, 60% against 35%. Attacking output favors Al-Nahda on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.7 per match.
Al-Nahda arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Ibri, D 1-1 v Saham, D 1-1 v Al Taawon, D 1-1 v Al Seeb.
Saham are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Al Musannah, D 1-1 @ Al-Nahda, W 2-1 @ Ibri, W 1-0 v Bahla.
The market prices AL- at 63% implied. Our number sits apart on Saham: a 11.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
