Wanderers v Cerro: the model read
Wanderers meet Cerro in the Copa Uruguay group stage - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Wanderers, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Wanderers on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Wanderers arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Cerro, W 3-0 v Central Espanol, L 1-5 @ Atletico Torque, D 1-1 v Cerro Largo.
Cerro are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Wanderers, D 1-1 @ Boston River, L 0-4 @ Liverpool Montevideo, W 2-1 v Albion FC.
Wanderers hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Wanderers 1-1 Cerro.
The market broadly agrees with the model here, 44% implied on WAN against our 43%. No meaningful edge. Discipline means passing on priced-in matches.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
