AS Roma v Real Madrid: the model read
AS Roma meet Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League league stage - 2 at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1673, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Real Madrid, 73% against 60%. Attacking output favors AS Roma on expected goals, 2.2 to 2.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 79%, over 2.5 goals around 83%. Draw no bet leans Real Madrid at 56%; double chance reads AS Roma or draw 59%, Real Madrid or draw 68%.
AS Roma arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Lecce, W 4-0 v Fiorentina, D 2-2 @ Borussia Dortmund, L 0-3 @ Brighton.
Real Madrid are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 14 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Malaga, W 4-1 v Real Sociedad, W 2-1 @ Espanyol, W 3-0 @ FC Schalke 04.
Real Madrid hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2018: AS Roma 0-2 Real Madrid.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
