Where the market is wrong on AEK Athens FC v Lask Linz
AEK Athens FC meet Lask Linz in the UEFA Champions League league stage - 1 at Allwyn Arena, Athens.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1719, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 73% against 78%. Attacking output favors Lask Linz on expected goals, 3.0 to 1.9 per match.
AEK Athens FC arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Kifisia, W 4-0 v Levski Sofia, W 4-0 v Iraklis 1908, D 0-0 @ Levski Sofia.
Lask Linz are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 15 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Wolfsberger AC, W 3-0 v SCR Altach, W 5-1 v Celtic, L 0-3 @ Celtic.
The market prices AEK at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Lask Linz: a 17.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
