Where the market is wrong on Ural II v Orenburg II
Ural II meet Orenburg II in the Second League - Group 4 group 4 - 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 45%. Attacking output favors Ural II on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Ural II arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Orenburg II, W 1-0 @ Nosta, L 2-3 v Rubin Kazan 2, W 2-1 @ Rubin Kazan 2.
Orenburg II are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Ural II, W 3-0 v Izhevsk, W 2-0 v Chelyabinsk II, W 2-1 v Chelyabinsk II.
Orenburg II hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ural II 1-1 Orenburg II.
The market prices URA at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
