Where the market is wrong on Foolad FC v Esteghlal FC
Foolad FC meet Esteghlal FC in the Persian Gulf Pro League regular season - 4 at Foolad Arena, Ahvaz.
The baseline ratings are close, 1598 to 1624, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 67% against 67%. Attacking output favors Foolad FC on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Foolad FC arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Esteghlal FC, W 3-0 @ Sanat Naft, D 1-1 v Shams Azar Qazvin, D 0-0 @ ZOB Ahan.
Esteghlal FC are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Foolad FC, W 2-0 v Sepahan FC, W 1-0 @ Nassaji Mazandaran, W 4-0 v Mes Shahr-e Babak.
Esteghlal FC hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Foolad FC 0-0 Esteghlal FC.
The market prices FOO at 23% implied. Our number sits apart on Foolad FC: a 9.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
