Al-Gharafa v Esteghlal FC: the model read
Al-Gharafa meet Esteghlal FC in the AFC Champions League Elite group stage at Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha.
Esteghlal FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1624 to 1408. Recent form leans Esteghlal FC, 67% against 35%. Attacking output favors Esteghlal FC on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.
Al-Gharafa arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Al Sadd, L 1-3 v Al Shamal, W 2-1 v Al Shahaniya, D 2-2 @ Al Riyadh.
Esteghlal FC are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Foolad FC, W 2-0 v Sepahan FC, W 1-0 @ Nassaji Mazandaran, W 4-0 v Mes Shahr-e Babak.
Esteghlal FC hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Esteghlal FC 3-0 Al-Gharafa.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
