Where the market is wrong on SS Reyes v Atlético Baleares
SS Reyes meet Atlético Baleares in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies.
The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1673, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 73% against 73%. Attacking output favors Atlético Baleares on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 32%. Draw no bet leans Atlético Baleares at 52%; double chance reads SS Reyes or draw 65%, Atlético Baleares or draw 68%.
SS Reyes arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Atlético Baleares, D 1-1 v UD Logroñés, L 0-1 @ UD Logroñés, D 1-1 v Alcoyano.
Atlético Baleares are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ SS Reyes, W 2-0 @ Real Madrid III, W 3-1 @ Mallorca II, L 0-1 @ Poblense.
Atlético Baleares hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: SS Reyes 0-3 Atlético Baleares.
The market prices SS at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
