Where the market is wrong on Città di Anagni v Afragolese
Città di Anagni meet Afragolese in the Serie D - Girone G group g - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 46% against 50%. Attacking output favors Città di Anagni on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.0 per match.
Città di Anagni arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Afragolese, W 2-1 @ Latte Dolce, L 0-2 v Unipomezia, L 1-3 @ Albalonga.
Afragolese are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Città di Anagni, W 4-0 v Venafro, D 0-0 @ Paganese, D 1-1 v Sarnese.
Città di Anagni hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Città di Anagni 4-0 Afragolese.
The market prices CIT at 24% implied. Our number sits apart on Città di Anagni: a 11.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 79 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output