Where the market is wrong on Sporting Trestina v Termoli Calcio
Sporting Trestina meet Termoli Calcio in the Serie D - Girone F group f - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 45%. Attacking output favors Sporting Trestina on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.6 per match.
Sporting Trestina arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Termoli Calcio, L 0-1 @ Atletico Ascoli, L 0-1 v Fossombrone, D 0-0 @ Lanciano FC.
Termoli Calcio are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Sporting Trestina, L 1-2 v Vigor Senigallia, D 0-0 @ Real Giulianova, W 1-0 v Angelana.
Sporting Trestina hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sporting Trestina 2-0 Termoli Calcio.
The market prices SPO at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
