Where the market is wrong on Imperia v Fezzanese
Imperia meet Fezzanese in the Serie D - Girone A group a - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 43%. Attacking output favors Fezzanese on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Imperia arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Fezzanese, L 1-2 v Asti, D 1-1 @ Derthona, W 1-0 v Millesimo.
Fezzanese are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Imperia, L 0-2 v Gozzano, W 3-0 @ Sestri Levante, W 2-0 v Chisola.
The market prices IMP at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on Fezzanese: a 9.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output