Where the market is wrong on Preston v Everton
Preston meet Everton in the League Cup round of 64 at Deepdale, Preston.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Everton, 50% against 24%. Attacking output favors Everton on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.
Preston arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Bristol City, L 0-1 @ Charlton, L 0-4 v Everton, L 1-3 v Wolves.
Everton are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Bournemouth, W 4-0 @ Preston, W 2-0 v Crystal Palace, D 1-1 v Lille.
Everton hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Preston 0-4 Everton.
The market prices PRE at 11% implied. Our number sits apart on Preston: a 13.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
