Florgrade v São João Ver: the model read
Florgrade meet São João Ver in the Taça de Portugal 1/128-finals.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 53%. Attacking output favors Florgrade on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Florgrade arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Camacha, D 0-0 v São João Ver, W 1-0 v Guarda, D 1-1 @ União Lamas.
São João Ver are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v AD Marco 09, D 0-0 @ Florgrade, L 0-1 @ Trofense, L 1-3 v Fafe.
Florgrade hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Florgrade 0-0 São João Ver.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
