Where the market is wrong on Domagnano v La Fiorita
Domagnano meet La Fiorita in the Campionato regular season - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 60%. Attacking output favors Domagnano on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.4 per match.
Domagnano arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Tre Fiori, W 3-1 v Faetano, W 4-0 v San Giovanni, W 2-1 @ Cailungo.
La Fiorita are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 2 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Fiorentino, D 1-1 v San Marino Academy, D 0-0 @ Virtus, L 0-2 v UNA Strassen.
La Fiorita hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Domagnano 1-1 La Fiorita.
The market prices DOM at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on Domagnano: a 10.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
