Where the market is wrong on Gemert v UNA
Gemert meet UNA in the Derde Divisie regular season - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 48%. Attacking output favors Gemert on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.6 per match.
Gemert arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v UNA, W 2-0 @ FC 's-Gravenzande, L 2-3 @ Dongen, D 2-2 v GOES.
UNA are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Gemert, D 2-2 @ Staphorst, W 4-1 v EVV, D 1-1 @ Zwaluwen.
UNA hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gemert 1-1 UNA.
The market prices GEM at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on UNA: a 6.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
