Groene Ster v Vvsb: the model read
Groene Ster meet Vvsb in the Derde Divisie regular season - 3.
Vvsb rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1400. Recent form leans Vvsb, 70% against 29%. Attacking output favors Vvsb on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.2 per match.
Groene Ster arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Heerjansdam, D 3-3 v Vvsb, L 1-3 @ Excelsior Maassluis, L 1-3 v Roosendaal.
Vvsb are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Ajax Amateurs, D 3-3 @ Groene Ster, L 0-2 v UDI '19, W 1-0 @ Poortugaal.
Vvsb hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Groene Ster 3-3 Vvsb.
The market prices GRO at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on Vvsb: a 2.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 63 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
