Where the market is wrong on Roosendaal v FC Lisse
Roosendaal meet FC Lisse in the Derde Divisie regular season - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1707, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans FC Lisse, 78% against 63%. Attacking output favors Roosendaal on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans FC Lisse at 63%; double chance reads Roosendaal or draw 54%, FC Lisse or draw 73%.
Roosendaal arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v FC Lisse, W 3-1 @ Groene Ster, W 4-3 v UDI '19, L 2-3 @ FC Lisse.
FC Lisse are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 13 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Roosendaal, W 4-2 v Aalsmeer, W 4-1 v Achilles Veen, W 4-0 v TOGB.
FC Lisse hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Roosendaal 0-1 FC Lisse.
The market prices ROO at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Lisse: a 6.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 71 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
