Where the market is wrong on El Mokawloon v AL Masry
El Mokawloon meet AL Masry in the Premier League regular season - 2 at Arab Contractors Stadium, Cairo.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 57%. Attacking output favors AL Masry on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
El Mokawloon arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v AL Masry, L 0-1 @ El Geish, W 3-1 v Future FC, D 2-2 @ Kahraba Ismailia.
AL Masry are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Pyramids FC, W 3-2 @ El Mokawloon, W 1-0 v Smouha SC, W 3-0 @ Enppi.
AL Masry hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: El Mokawloon 2-3 AL Masry.
The market prices EL at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on El Mokawloon: a 3.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
