Where the market is wrong on Banfield Res. v Talleres Córdoba Res.
Banfield Res. meet Talleres Córdoba Res. in the Reserve League clausura - 6.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 55%. Attacking output favors Talleres Córdoba Res. on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 26%. Draw no bet leans Talleres Córdoba Res. at 58%; double chance reads Banfield Res. or draw 61%, Talleres Córdoba Res. or draw 72%.
Banfield Res. arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Talleres Córdoba Res., L 2-3 v Instituto Res., L 0-1 @ Rosario Central Res., D 1-1 v Tigre Res..
Talleres Córdoba Res. are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Banfield Res., D 2-2 v Rosario Central Res., W 1-0 @ Tigre Res., D 1-1 v San Lorenzo Res..
The market prices BAN at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
