Where the market is wrong on Sireți v Dacia-Buiucani
Sireți meet Dacia-Buiucani in the Super Liga regular season - 9 at Nisporeni stadium, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sireți, 53% against 25%. Attacking output favors Sireți on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Sireți at 62%; double chance reads Sireți or draw 73%, Dacia-Buiucani or draw 57%.
Sireți arrive patchy: 0W-5D-0L from their last five (5/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Dacia-Buiucani, D 1-1 v Sheriff Tiraspol, D 1-1 v CSF Bălți, D 2-2 @ Milsami Orhei.
Dacia-Buiucani are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Sireți, W 2-1 v Petrocub, L 0-1 @ Sheriff Tiraspol, L 0-4 v Zimbru.
Dacia-Buiucani hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sireți 0-0 Dacia-Buiucani.
The market prices SIR at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on Sireți: a 12.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
