Where the market is wrong on AZ Picerno v Savoia
AZ Picerno meet Savoia in the Serie C - Girone C girone c - 1 at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio, Picerno.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Savoia, 68% against 57%. Attacking output favors Savoia on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Savoia at 56%; double chance reads AZ Picerno or draw 61%, Savoia or draw 69%.
AZ Picerno arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Savoia, W 2-1 v Barletta, D 0-0 v Sorrento, L 1-2 @ Salernitana.
Savoia are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ AZ Picerno, W 2-1 @ Casertana, L 1-4 v Scafatese, L 1-2 @ Barletta.
AZ Picerno hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AZ Picerno 3-2 Savoia.
The market prices AZ at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Savoia: a 13.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
