Sol de Mayo v Santamarina: the model read
Sol de Mayo meet Santamarina in the Torneo Federal A losers stage - 1 at Estadio Sol De Mayo, Viedma. The model makes Sol de Mayo the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% SOL, 35% draw, 29% SAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sol de Mayo, 45% against 35%. Attacking output favors Sol de Mayo on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 24%, over 2.5 goals around 16%. Draw no bet leans Sol de Mayo at 55%; double chance reads Sol de Mayo or draw 71%, Santamarina or draw 64%.
Sol de Mayo arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Villa Mitre, L 1-3 @ Circulo Deportivo, L 1-2 v Kimberley Mar del Plata, W 1-0 @ Guillermo Brown.
Santamarina are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 0 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Olimpo Bahia Blanca, D 0-0 v Alvarado, L 0-1 @ Germinal de Rawson, L 0-2 v Villa Mitre.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
