Where the market is wrong on Villa Mitre v Huracan Las Heras
Villa Mitre meet Huracan Las Heras in the Torneo Federal A winners stage - 6 at Estadio El Fortin, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Villa Mitre, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Villa Mitre on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.6 per match.
Villa Mitre arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Huracan Las Heras, D 0-0 @ Juventud Antoniana, D 0-0 v Alvarado, L 0-2 @ Olimpo Bahia Blanca.
Huracan Las Heras are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 1 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Villa Mitre, W 1-0 v Juventud Antoniana, L 0-1 @ Alvarado, L 0-1 v Olimpo Bahia Blanca.
Villa Mitre hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Villa Mitre 3-0 Huracan Las Heras.
The market prices VIL at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 10.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 77 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
