Tirsense v Varzim: the model read
Tirsense meet Varzim in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Tirsense the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% TIR, 34% draw, 27% VAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Tirsense, 63% against 40%. Attacking output favors Tirsense on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 26%, over 2.5 goals around 20%. Draw no bet leans Tirsense at 58%; double chance reads Tirsense or draw 73%, Varzim or draw 62%.
Tirsense arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 5 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Chaves II, D 0-0 @ Os Limianos, W 1-0 v Monção, W 1-0 @ Mirandela.
Varzim are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Tondela, D 2-2 @ União Santarém, L 1-2 v CF Os Belenenses, L 0-1 @ Academica.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
