Dulwich Hamlet v Dorking Wanderers

Dulwich Hamlet meet Dorking Wanderers in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Dulwich Hamlet the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% DUL, 29% draw, 31% DOR.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 48%. Attacking output favors Dulwich Hamlet on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans Dulwich Hamlet at 56%; double chance reads Dulwich Hamlet or draw 69%, Dorking Wanderers or draw 61%.

Dulwich Hamlet arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Tonbridge Angels, W 2-1 @ Hashtag United, W 2-0 v Burgess Hill Town, L 0-2 @ Welling United.

Dorking Wanderers are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Lewes, L 2-3 @ Leatherhead, W 1-0 @ Bognor Regis Town, L 2-4 @ Torquay.

Dorking Wanderers hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Dorking Wanderers 4-3 Dulwich Hamlet.

The market prices DUL at 23% implied. Our number sits apart on Dulwich Hamlet: a 16.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.