Boldmere St. Michaels v Chasetown: the model read
Boldmere St. Michaels meet Chasetown in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Boldmere St. Michaels the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% BOL, 31% draw, 31% CHA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1458, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Boldmere St. Michaels, 57% against 42%. Attacking output favors Boldmere St. Michaels on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Boldmere St. Michaels at 55%; double chance reads Boldmere St. Michaels or draw 69%, Chasetown or draw 61%.
Boldmere St. Michaels arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 9 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Rushall Olympic, L 2-3 v Alvechurch, L 1-2 v Loughborough University, W 3-2 @ Bourne Town.
Chasetown are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Stalybridge Celtic, W 2-1 v Congleton Town, L 1-2 @ Atherton Collieries, D 0-0 v Stafford Rangers.
Boldmere St. Michaels hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Boldmere St. Michaels 1-0 Chasetown.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
