Where the market is wrong on Damac v Al-Adalah
Damac meet Al-Adalah in the Division 1 regular season - 6 at Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Abha.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 48%. Attacking output favors Al-Adalah on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Damac arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Al-Adalah, W 2-1 @ Al Bukayriyah, L 0-1 v Al Ula, D 2-2 @ Al Wehda Club.
Al-Adalah are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Damac, W 1-0 v Al Jandal, D 1-1 v Al Saqer, W 1-0 @ Al Bukayriyah.
Al-Adalah hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Damac 3-2 Al-Adalah.
The market prices DAM at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Al-Adalah: a 12.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
