AD Carmelita v Santa Ana: the model read
AD Carmelita meet Santa Ana in the Liga de Ascenso regular season - 9 at Estadio de Piedades, Santa Ana.
The baseline ratings are close, 1460 to 1555, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Santa Ana, 56% against 44%. Attacking output favors Santa Ana on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
AD Carmelita arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Santa Ana, W 6-0 v CS Uruguay, D 1-1 @ Cariari Pococi, L 1-2 v Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC.
Santa Ana are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ AD Carmelita, L 0-1 @ Aserri FC, W 2-1 v Guadalupe FC, W 2-1 @ Futbol Consultants Moravia.
Santa Ana hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AD Carmelita 1-0 Santa Ana.
The market prices AD at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
