Where the market is wrong on Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC v CS Uruguay
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC meet CS Uruguay in the Liga de Ascenso regular season - 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1496 to 1480, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 45%. Attacking output favors CS Uruguay on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 61%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC at 52%; double chance reads Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC or draw 66%, CS Uruguay or draw 63%.
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Aserri FC, W 2-1 v CS Uruguay, D 2-2 v Guadalupe FC, L 0-2 @ Inter San Carlos.
CS Uruguay are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Santa Ana, L 1-2 @ Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC, L 0-1 v Cariari Pococi, D 2-2 v AD Carmelita.
The market prices PIT at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on CS Uruguay: a 5.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output