AD Carmelita v Santa Ana: the model read
AD Carmelita meet Santa Ana in the Liga de Ascenso regular season - 2. The model makes Santa Ana the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 31% AD , 30% draw, 39% SAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1405, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 26% against 34%. Attacking output favors Santa Ana on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Santa Ana at 56%; double chance reads AD Carmelita or draw 61%, Santa Ana or draw 69%.
AD Carmelita arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Aserri FC, D 1-1 v Futbol Consultants Moravia, L 0-3 @ CS Uruguay, W 1-0 v Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC.
Santa Ana are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Aserri FC, L 1-2 @ Futbol Consultants Moravia, W 5-3 v CS Uruguay, L 1-2 @ Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC.
Santa Ana hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AD Carmelita 1-2 Santa Ana.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
