Where the market is wrong on Siwelele v Golden Arrows
Siwelele meet Golden Arrows in the Premier Soccer League regular season - 6.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Golden Arrows, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Siwelele on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Siwelele arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Golden Arrows, L 0-3 @ Mamelodi Sundowns, L 2-3 @ Kaizer Chiefs, D 1-1 v Chippa United.
Golden Arrows are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Siwelele, L 1-2 v Mamelodi Sundowns, L 2-3 v Mamelodi Sundowns, W 1-0 v Stellenbosch.
The market prices SIW at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 62 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
