Barra v Nação: the model read
Barra meet Nação in the Copa Santa Catarina group stage - 1.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 40%. Attacking output favors Barra on expected goals, 1.0 to 1.0 per match.
Barra arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Blumenau, D 1-1 @ Figueirense, W 2-0 v Volta Redonda, L 1-2 @ Maringá.
Nação are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Joinville, L 0-1 @ Figueirense, D 2-2 v Santa Catarina, L 1-2 v Hercílio Luz.
Barra hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Nação 0-4 Barra.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
