Gloucester City v Chertsey Town: the model read
Gloucester City meet Chertsey Town in the Non League Premier - Southern South regular season - 1. The model makes Gloucester City the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% GLO, 28% draw, 30% CHE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1601, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 63%. Attacking output favors Gloucester City on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 74%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans Gloucester City at 59%; double chance reads Gloucester City or draw 70%, Chertsey Town or draw 57%.
Gloucester City arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Barry Town, L 0-1 v Haverfordwest County AFC, W 2-1 v Newport County, L 1-5 @ Farnham Town.
Chertsey Town are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Chesham United, D 1-1 v Hampton & Richmond, W 2-0 v Wealdstone, W 4-1 @ Egham Town.
Gloucester City hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chertsey Town 2-2 Gloucester City.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
