Where the market is wrong on Masar v Dayrout
Masar meet Dayrout in the Second League regular season - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Masar, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Masar on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 24%, over 2.5 goals around 20%. Draw no bet leans Masar at 61%; double chance reads Masar or draw 74%, Dayrout or draw 60%.
Masar arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Dayrout, W 3-1 @ Ismaily SC, W 3-0 v Itesalat, L 0-2 @ Dayrout.
Dayrout are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Masar, L 0-2 v Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat, L 1-3 @ Olympic El Qanah, W 2-0 v Masar.
Masar hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Masar 4-0 Dayrout.
The market prices MAS at 62% implied. Our number sits apart on Dayrout: a 12.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output