Wellington Phoenix v Adelaide United: the model read
Wellington Phoenix meet Adelaide United in the A-League regular season - 6 at Sky Stadium, Wellington.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Adelaide United, 63% against 45%. Attacking output favors Adelaide United on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Wellington Phoenix arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Macarthur, W 2-1 v Western Sydney Wanderers, L 0-2 @ Melbourne City, W 1-0 @ Melbourne Victory.
Adelaide United are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Công An Nhân Dân, L 1-2 @ South Melbourne, W 2-0 @ Playford City Patriots, W 5-0 @ The Cove.
Adelaide United hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Adelaide United 1-1 Wellington Phoenix.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
