Auckland v Wellington Phoenix: the model read
Auckland meet Wellington Phoenix in the A-League regular season - 4 at Go Media Stadium, Auckland.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 45%. Attacking output favors Auckland on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Auckland arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Al-Ahli Jeddah, L 0-2 v Tottenham, W 1-0 v Sydney, W 3-0 @ Adelaide United.
Wellington Phoenix are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Macarthur, W 2-1 v Western Sydney Wanderers, L 0-2 @ Melbourne City, W 1-0 @ Melbourne Victory.
Auckland hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 0 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Wellington Phoenix 0-5 Auckland.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
