Where the market is wrong on Aris Thessalonikis v OFI
Aris Thessalonikis meet OFI in the Super League 1 regular season - 2 at Kleanthis Vikelides, Thessaloniki.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Aris Thessalonikis, 68% against 48%. Attacking output favors Aris Thessalonikis on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
Aris Thessalonikis arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v OFI, W 3-2 @ Kalamata, W 2-0 @ Anagennisi Karditsas, L 2-6 @ Napoli.
OFI are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Aris Thessalonikis, W 2-0 @ CSKA Sofia, W 2-0 v Volos NFC, W 3-0 v CSKA Sofia.
Aris Thessalonikis hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Aris Thessalonikis 2-1 OFI.
The market prices ARI at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on OFI: a 11.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
