Where the market is wrong on Mainz 05 W v FC Koln W
Mainz 05 W meet FC Koln W in the Frauen Bundesliga regular season - 3 at Bruchwegstadion, Mainz.
Mainz 05 W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1523. Recent form leans Mainz 05 W, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors Mainz 05 W on expected goals, 2.9 to 1.5 per match.
Mainz 05 W arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v FC Koln W, L 0-2 @ Bayern Munich W, L 1-2 v Werder Bremen W, W 5-0 @ Warbeyen W.
FC Koln W are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Mainz 05 W, W 1-0 v 1899 Hoffenheim W, L 0-2 @ Eintracht Frankfurt W, W 3-0 @ Carl Zeiss Jena W.
FC Koln W hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mainz 05 W 0-4 FC Koln W.
The market prices MAI at 14% implied. Our number sits apart on Mainz 05 W: a 35.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 85 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
