Where the market is wrong on Scarborough Athletic v Southport
Scarborough Athletic meet Southport in the National League - North national league north - 5 at Mounting Systems Stadium, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 48%. Attacking output favors Scarborough Athletic on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Scarborough Athletic arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 14 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ King's Lynn Town, W 5-1 v Southport, L 1-2 @ Chorley, W 3-0 v Spennymoor Town.
Southport are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Hereford, L 1-5 @ Scarborough Athletic, W 4-1 v Bedford Town, D 2-2 @ Hednesford Town.
Southport hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Scarborough Athletic 5-1 Southport.
The market prices SCA at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on Southport: a 8.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
