Where the market is wrong on Erzurumspor FK v Konyaspor
Erzurumspor FK meet Konyaspor in the Süper Lig regular season - 4.
Erzurumspor FK rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1528. Recent form leans Erzurumspor FK, 73% against 50%. Attacking output favors Erzurumspor FK on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.4 per match.
Erzurumspor FK arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Gençlerbirliği S.K., L 0-4 v Galatasaray, L 0-3 @ Amed, W 3-1 v Al Arabi.
Konyaspor are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Kocaelispor, L 2-4 @ Fenerbahçe, L 0-1 v Rizespor, W 2-0 v Al-Dhafra.
Konyaspor hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 0 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Erzurumspor FK 0-4 Konyaspor.
The market prices ERZ at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on Erzurumspor FK: a 8.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 76 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
