Where the market is wrong on Alanyaspor v Beşiktaş
Alanyaspor meet Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig regular season - 2 at Bahcesehir Okullari Stadium, Alanya.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Beşiktaş, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Alanyaspor on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Beşiktaş at 55%; double chance reads Alanyaspor or draw 63%, Beşiktaş or draw 69%.
Alanyaspor arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Beşiktaş, D 1-1 @ Gaziantep FK, D 2-2 v Tikveš, L 1-2 @ Fatih Karagümrük.
Beşiktaş are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Kauno Žalgiris, L 0-1 @ Alanyaspor, W 3-0 v Kauno Žalgiris, W 1-0 v Eyüpspor.
Alanyaspor hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Alanyaspor 1-0 Beşiktaş.
The market prices ALA at 19% implied. Our number sits apart on Alanyaspor: a 11.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
