Where the market is wrong on Oleksandria v Yarud Mariupol'
Oleksandria meet Yarud Mariupol' in the Persha Liga regular season - 9.
The baseline ratings are close, 1601 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 66% against 60%. Attacking output favors Oleksandria on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
Oleksandria arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Yarud Mariupol', L 0-1 @ Ahrobiznes Volochysk, W 1-0 v Viktoriya Mykolaivka, D 1-1 @ Probiy Horodenka.
Yarud Mariupol' are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Oleksandria, W 2-1 v Polissya II, W 2-0 @ Probiy Horodenka, L 0-2 v Zorya Luhansk.
Oleksandria hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Oleksandria 1-1 Yarud Mariupol'.
The market prices OLE at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on Yarud Mariupol': a 15.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
