Where the market is wrong on Llantwit Major v llanelli AFC
Llantwit Major meet llanelli AFC in the FAW Championship south - 9.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Llantwit Major, 40% against 15%. Attacking output favors Llantwit Major on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.6 per match.
Llantwit Major arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v llanelli AFC, D 1-1 @ Treowen Stars, L 1-5 @ Aberystwyth Town, L 0-1 v Baglan Dragons.
llanelli AFC are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 2 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Llantwit Major, L 0-3 @ Caerau (Ely), L 0-2 v Treowen Stars, L 0-4 @ Aberystwyth Town.
llanelli AFC hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Llantwit Major 2-0 llanelli AFC.
The market prices LLA at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
