Where the market is wrong on Vanløse v Ringsted
Vanløse meet Ringsted in the 3. Division regular season - 4 at Vanlose Idraetspark, Vanlose.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1516, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 50%. Attacking output favors Ringsted on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 71%. Draw no bet leans Vanløse at 51%; double chance reads Vanløse or draw 65%, Ringsted or draw 64%.
Vanløse arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Allerød, W 2-0 v Ringsted, L 1-2 @ ASA Aarhus, W 3-0 v Næsby.
Ringsted are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Vanløse, L 0-4 v Holstebro, L 2-3 v FC Helsingor, L 0-1 v Frem.
The market prices VAN at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on Ringsted: a 11.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output