Spartak Kostroma v Enisey

Spartak Kostroma meet Enisey in the First League regular season - 4 at Stadion Urozhay, Karavaevo. The model makes Enisey the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 25% SPA, 31% draw, 44% ENI.

Enisey rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1466. Recent form leans Enisey, 70% against 48%. Attacking output favors Enisey on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 41%. Draw no bet leans Enisey at 63%; double chance reads Spartak Kostroma or draw 56%, Enisey or draw 75%.

Spartak Kostroma arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Tekstilshchik, W 2-0 @ FC Sochi, W 3-1 v KAMAZ, L 0-2 @ Lokomotiv.

Enisey are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Veles, L 0-3 @ Ural, W 2-1 @ Volga Ulyanovsk, D 1-1 v Andijan.

Spartak Kostroma hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Spartak Kostroma 2-1 Enisey.

The market prices SPA at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on Enisey: a 22.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.