Where the market is wrong on Benfica B v Torreense
Benfica B meet Torreense in the Segunda Liga regular season - 5 at Benfica Campus, Seixal.
The baseline ratings are close, 1577 to 1528, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 61% against 55%. Attacking output favors Torreense on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Benfica B arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Amarante, D 1-1 v Portimonense, W 2-1 @ União de Leiria, W 1-0 v Leixoes.
Torreense are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Vizela, D 2-2 @ Lusitânia Lourosa, D 2-2 v Penafiel, L 1-2 @ Farense.
Torreense hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Benfica B 1-1 Torreense.
The market prices BEN at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
