Torreense v Vizela: the model read
Torreense meet Vizela in the Segunda Liga regular season - 4 at Estadio Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras.
The baseline ratings are close, 1528 to 1468, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Torreense, 55% against 42%. Attacking output favors Torreense on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Torreense arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Vizela, D 2-2 @ Lusitânia Lourosa, D 2-2 v Penafiel, L 1-2 @ Farense.
Vizela are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Torreense, D 0-0 v Amarante, L 0-2 @ Portimonense, W 1-0 v União de Leiria.
Torreense hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Torreense 0-3 Vizela.
The market prices TOR at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
