Felgueiras 1932 v Chaves: the model read
Felgueiras 1932 meet Chaves in the Segunda Liga regular season - 4 at Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos, Felgueiras.
The baseline ratings are close, 1553 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Felgueiras 1932, 61% against 43%. Attacking output favors Chaves on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Felgueiras 1932 arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Chaves, D 1-1 @ Farense, D 1-1 v AVS, D 0-0 @ Feirense.
Chaves are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Felgueiras 1932, D 2-2 v AVS, L 0-1 @ Sporting CP B, L 1-4 v Academica.
Felgueiras 1932 hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Felgueiras 1932 2-1 Chaves.
The market prices FEL at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 1.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
