Estrela v Casa Pia: the model read
Estrela meet Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga regular season - 9.
The baseline ratings are close, 1501 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Estrela, 50% against 30%. Attacking output favors Estrela on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.6 per match.
Estrela arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 12 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Nacional, D 2-2 @ Alverca, D 2-2 v Sporting CP, W 4-2 v Al-Nassr.
Casa Pia are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 17 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Moreirense, L 0-2 @ GIL Vicente, L 0-7 v Benfica, L 0-1 @ Maritimo.
Estrela hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Estrela 1-2 Casa Pia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
